Josh Gordon’s first two years in the league were fantastic and put him on pace to be one of the best receivers of all time. How quickly things change. With Gordon’s inability to stay off the weed, he’s now faced multiple suspensions over the last few years. Over the past two seasons in which he played, Gordon has averaged 28% of Cleveland’s total targets. Obviously, with Corey Coleman, Duke Johnson, and Gary Barnidge on the roster, we should expect a lower market share of the targets. I think a reasonable number to project Gordon at is roughly 22%. When we extrapolate that to a 12 game season (remember Josh is suspended for the first 4 games), we get an early projection of 101 targets or about 8 targets per game. We know what Josh Gordon can do with the ball in his hands. Despite missing two games in 2013 due to another suspension, Gordon led the NFL in receiving yards with 1,646. So where should we draft him?
Right now I’ve got Josh Gordon listed as a high upside, Wide Receiver 3 in 12 team PPR formats. If your strategy is to go wide receiver heavy, I can justify taking him in the 5th round. I don’t see him dropping past the 7th round, so you’ll need to be aggressive when drafting him. Josh Gordon single handedly has what it takes to win people leagues this year with his incredible talent and upside. Also, Hue Jackson has been known to maximize the talent on his rosters, which could make the Cleveland offense fairly interesting this season. Remember that Gordon and RG3 played together at Baylor and Art Briles was quoted saying, “There is a natural connection between Griffin and Gordon”. Be careful selecting Gordon because there is tremendous downside, however, I’m willing to take that risk this season.
Let me know what you think. Will you be selecting Josh Gordon this season?