1. The most over looked fantasy tight end this year is Zach Miller, with an ADP of 151. With Martellus Bennett long gone and Kevin White coming off of a missed rookie season due to injury, expect Miller to be targeted heavily. Since the Bears possess such an inefficient run game led by Jeremy Langford (2.7 yards per carry against base defenses), Cutler should be asked to throw the ball more this year. First year offensive coordinator Dowell Loggains will aim to limit mistakes with a conservative red zone approach, which should be friendly to the tight end. In weeks where Martellus Bennett was injured last season (14, 15, and 16), Zach Miller averaged 6 – 70 - .33. If we extrapolate this sample size to a full season, we get 96 – 1120 – 5. Expect big numbers from Zach Miller this season.
2. Ladarius Green is still going too low for me in mock drafts (ADP of 88). Green’s fantasy situation can’t get much better. With a healthy (we hope) Ben Roethlisberger, no threat at his position, and Martavis Bryant (Mr. I can’t stay off the weed) suspended, 120 targets are not out of reach this season. Roethlisberger averaged 39 attempts per game last year, which would be good enough for third in the NFL. Also, play caller Todd Haley has gotten progressively more pass heavy in each season with Pittsburgh, posting a 61.6 % mark last year. Ladarius Green should be drafted ahead of Delanie Walker and the over rated Travis Kelce in all formats this year.
3. Dwayne Allen should benefit significantly with Coby Fleener out of town. With an ADP of 147, Allen could be a fantasy hero this season. We know that a healthy Andrew Luck tests his receivers, averaging 604 attempts per season (excluding last year). Expecting much out of 33-year-old Frank Gore would be slightly insane. This sets up for a high volume passing attack, with targets going to T.Y. Hilton, Donte Moncrief, and Dwayne Allen. With Jack Doyle posing no threat to his starting job, we can expect Allen to play up to 85 % of the offensive snaps. With Moncrief leading the league in nine routes at 35.6 % (thebackyardbanter.com), look for Allen to have a lot of room to work in the middle of the field. Dwayne Allen is a matchup nightmare for opposing defense at 6’ 3” and 265 pounds. With Allen’s ability to block, defenses are constantly being put in difficult situations. Offensive Coordinator Rob Chudzinski loves to spread the ball around in the red zone, which should help bring some targets his way. I’ll take my chances with the versatile pass catcher this year, knowing that Luck has thrown 30 % of his touchdowns to the tight end over the course of his career.
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